Whoo! Oscar noms = Oscar predictions.
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Performance by an actor in a leading role
Philip Seymour Hoffman in Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Terrence Howard in Hustle & Flow (Paramount Classics, MTV Films and New Deal Entertainment)
Heath Ledger in Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Joaquin Phoenix in Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
David Strathairn in Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
Will Win: Heath. Duh!
Should Win: Joaquin or David. Despite Heath making a character that was a sketch in the story into a full-blown being, both Phoenix and Strathairn went farther, seemingly becoming possessed by Johnny Cash and Edward R. Murrow, living and breathing and pushing themselves farther. Heath, comparably, mumbled. However, any of the 5 winning is good. This is the best "Best Actor" pool in years.
Performance by an actor in a supporting role
George Clooney in Syriana (Warner Bros.)
Matt Dillon in Crash (Lions Gate)
Paul Giamatti in Cinderella Man (Universal and Miramax)
Jake Gyllenhaal in Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
William Hurt in A History of Violence (New Line)
Will Win: Matt Dillon. MATTDILLONCRASH!
Should Win: Giamatti as a "double sorry" for American Splendor and Sideways, or Jake as a "sorry" for not getting a nomination for Jarhead's Swoff. Yes, I think like an Academy voter would: "whoops."
Performance by an actress in a leading role
Judi Dench in Mrs. Henderson Presents (The Weinstein Company)
Felicity Huffman in Transamerica (The Weinstein Company and IFC Films)
Keira Knightley in Pride & Prejudice (Focus Features)
Charlize Theron in North Country (Warner Bros.)
Reese Witherspoon in Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
Will Win: Reese.
Should Win: Reese. FUCK YEAH!
Performance by an actress in a supporting role
Amy Adams in Junebug (Sony Pictures Classics)
Catherine Keener in Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Frances McDormand in North Country (Warner Bros.)
Rachel Weisz in The Constant Gardener (Focus Features)
Michelle Williams in Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Will Win: First off, why is Michelle Williams nominated over Anne Hathaway? Anne's stronger in Brokeback by far. And if you replaced Frances McDormand with Scarlett Johansson, I'd be much happier with this pool. Anyway, they're going to give it to Catherine Keener. She deserves it, to be honest.
Should Win: Rachel Weisz. Constant Gardener was a powerhouse role for her, and she took it all the way.
Best animated feature film of the year
Howls Moving Castle (Buena Vista)
Hayao Miyazaki
Tim Burtons Corpse Bride (Warner Bros.)
Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
Wallace & Gromit in the Curse of the Were-Rabbit (DreamWorks Animation SKG)
Nick Park and Steve Box
Will Win: Corpse Bride.
Should Win: Either of the other ones. Corpse Bride was technically magnificent, but felt soulless -- while W&G was the comedy of the year, and Howl's was more pure unadulterated magic from Miyazaki. However, Hayao already has an Oscar. Let's give it to Nick for the characters that started Aardman.
Achievement in art direction
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
Art Direction: Jim Bissell
Set Decoration: Jan Pascale
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (Warner Bros.)
Art Direction: Stuart Craig
Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
King Kong (Universal)
Art Direction: Grant Major
Set Decoration: Dan Hennah and Simon Bright
Memoirs of a Geisha (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Art Direction: John Myhre
Set Decoration: Gretchen Rau
Pride & Prejudice (Focus Features)
Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood
Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
Will Win: Geisha. It's the "respectable" one.
Should Win: KONG or Goblet.
Achievement in cinematography
Batman Begins (Warner Bros.)
Wally Pfister
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Rodrigo Prieto
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
Robert Elswit
Memoirs of a Geisha (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Dion Beebe
The New World (New Line)
Emmanuel Lubezki
Will Win: Wally Pfister. He had really pretty mountains.
Should Win: Rodrigo Prieto. So much with simple black-and-white film stock and a newsroom, yet every frame packs a visual punch.
Achievement in costume design
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (Warner Bros.)
Gabriella Pescucci
Memoirs of a Geisha (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Colleen Atwood
Mrs. Henderson Presents (The Weinstein Company)
Sandy Powell
Pride & Prejudice (Focus Features)
Jacqueline Durran
Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
Arianne Phillips
Will Win: Geisha. Once again, it's the most respectable compared to the rest of the nominees, although I can see the 50's-to-70's perfection of costuming in Walk The Line taking it.
Should Win: Well, I'd have to give it to Walk The Line or Pride & Prejudice.
Achievement in directing
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Ang Lee
Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Bennett Miller
Crash (Lions Gate)
Paul Haggis
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
George Clooney
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)
Steven Spielberg
Will Win: Ang Lee. Hey, he didn't win for Crouching Tiger/The Ice Storm/Ride With The Devil... unless the Academy decides to be dicks and give it to Haggis, in which case I will retch violently.
Should Win: Clooney.
Best documentary feature
Darwins Nightmare (International Film Circuit)
A Mille et Une Production
Hubert Sauper
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room (Magnolia Pictures)
An HDNet Films Production
Alex Gibney and Jason Kliot
March of the Penguins (Warner Independent Pictures)
A Bonne Pioche Production
Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
Murderball (THINKFilm)
An Eat Films Production
Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
Street Fight
A Marshall Curry Production
Marshall Curry
Will Win: March of the Penguins.
Should Win: Murderball.
Best documentary short subject
The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club
A Dan Krauss Production
Dan Krauss
God Sleeps in Rwanda
An Acquaro/Sherman Production
Kimberlee Acquaro and Stacy Sherman
The Mushroom Club
A Farallon Films Production
Steven Okazaki
A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin
A NomaFilms Production
Corinne Marrinan and Eric Simonson
Will Win: God Sleeps in Rwanda sounds like an Oscar winner.
Should Win: Fuck me if I know.
Achievement in film editing
Cinderella Man (Universal and Miramax)
Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
The Constant Gardener (Focus Features)
Claire Simpson
Crash (Lions Gate)
Hughes Winborne
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)
Michael Kahn
Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
Michael McCusker
Will Win: Michael Kahn or Hughes Winborne.
Should Win: Michael Kahn or Hughes Winborne.
Best foreign language film of the year
Dont Tell
A Cattleya/Rai Cinema Production
Italy
Joyeux Nol
A Nord-Ouest Production
France
Paradise Now
An Augustus Film Production
Palestine
Sophie Scholl - The Final Days
A Goldkind Filmproduktion and Broth Film Production
Germany
Tsotsi
A Moviworld Production
South Africa
Will Win: Tsotsi.
Should Win: Paradise Now.
Achievement in makeup
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
(Buena Vista)
Howard Berger and Tami Lane
Cinderella Man
(Universal and Miramax)
David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
Star Wars: Episode III Revenge of the Sith
(20th Century Fox)
Dave Elsey and Nikki Gooley
Will Win: Narnia.
Should Win: I guess Narnia. Especially since the best makeup in Star Wars is only during the climactic burning of Anakin.
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score)
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features) Gustavo Santaolalla
The Constant Gardener (Focus Features) Alberto Iglesias
Memoirs of a Geisha (Sony Pictures Releasing) John Williams
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks) John Williams
Pride & Prejudice (Focus Features) Dario Marianelli
Will Win: Um... damn. John Williams for Munich
Should Win: John Williams for Munich. You know, if he did five scores in one year, could he possibly get all five slots himself?
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song)
In the Deep from Crash (Lions Gate)
Music by Kathleen Bird York and Michael Becker
Lyric by Kathleen Bird York
Its Hard Out Here for a Pimp fromHustle & Flow (Paramount Classics, MTV Films and New Deal Entertainment)
Music and Lyric by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul Beauregard
Travelin Thru from Transamerica (The Weinstein Company and IFC Films)
Music and Lyric by Dolly Parton
Will Win: "In The Deep".
Should Win: "It's Hard Out Here For A Pimp". C'mon, anything with a title like that DESERVES an Oscar.
Best motion picture of the year
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
A River Road Entertainment Production
Diana Ossana and James Schamus, Producers
Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
An A-Line Pictures/Coopers Town/ Infinity Media Production
Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven, Producers
Crash (Lions Gate)
A Bob Yari/DEJ/Blackfriars Bridge/ Harris Company/ApolloProscreen GmbH & Co./Bulls Eye Entertainment Production
Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, Producers
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
A Good Night Good Luck LLC Production
Grant Heslov, Producer
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)
A Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Pictures Production
Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel, Producers
Will Win: I'm gonna go out on a limb and say the Academy wets themselves, and decides Magnolia 2 is going to get them in less hot water than "That Gay Cowboy Movie" and will actually give Crash the big one.
Should Win: ANY OTHER MOVIE. But I hold high hope that Good Night, And Good Luck wins.
Adapted screenplay
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Screenplay by Larry McMurtry & Diana Ossana
Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Screenplay by Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener (Focus Features)
Screenplay by Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (New Line)
Screenplay by Josh Olson
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)
Screenplay by Tony Kushner and Eric Roth
Will Win: Brokeback Mountain.
Should Win: Capote.
Original screenplay
Crash (Lions Gate)
Screenplay by Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco
Story by Paul Haggis
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
Screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslov
Match Point (DreamWorks)
Written by Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (Samuel Goldwyn Films and Sony Pictures Releasing)
Written by Noah Baumbach
Syriana (Warner Bros.)
Written by Stephen Gaghan
Will Win: Paul Haggis.
Should Win: Clooney and Heslov.
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Performance by an actor in a leading role
Philip Seymour Hoffman in Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Terrence Howard in Hustle & Flow (Paramount Classics, MTV Films and New Deal Entertainment)
Heath Ledger in Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Joaquin Phoenix in Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
David Strathairn in Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
Will Win: Heath. Duh!
Should Win: Joaquin or David. Despite Heath making a character that was a sketch in the story into a full-blown being, both Phoenix and Strathairn went farther, seemingly becoming possessed by Johnny Cash and Edward R. Murrow, living and breathing and pushing themselves farther. Heath, comparably, mumbled. However, any of the 5 winning is good. This is the best "Best Actor" pool in years.
Performance by an actor in a supporting role
George Clooney in Syriana (Warner Bros.)
Matt Dillon in Crash (Lions Gate)
Paul Giamatti in Cinderella Man (Universal and Miramax)
Jake Gyllenhaal in Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
William Hurt in A History of Violence (New Line)
Will Win: Matt Dillon. MATTDILLONCRASH!
Should Win: Giamatti as a "double sorry" for American Splendor and Sideways, or Jake as a "sorry" for not getting a nomination for Jarhead's Swoff. Yes, I think like an Academy voter would: "whoops."
Performance by an actress in a leading role
Judi Dench in Mrs. Henderson Presents (The Weinstein Company)
Felicity Huffman in Transamerica (The Weinstein Company and IFC Films)
Keira Knightley in Pride & Prejudice (Focus Features)
Charlize Theron in North Country (Warner Bros.)
Reese Witherspoon in Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
Will Win: Reese.
Should Win: Reese. FUCK YEAH!
Performance by an actress in a supporting role
Amy Adams in Junebug (Sony Pictures Classics)
Catherine Keener in Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Frances McDormand in North Country (Warner Bros.)
Rachel Weisz in The Constant Gardener (Focus Features)
Michelle Williams in Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Will Win: First off, why is Michelle Williams nominated over Anne Hathaway? Anne's stronger in Brokeback by far. And if you replaced Frances McDormand with Scarlett Johansson, I'd be much happier with this pool. Anyway, they're going to give it to Catherine Keener. She deserves it, to be honest.
Should Win: Rachel Weisz. Constant Gardener was a powerhouse role for her, and she took it all the way.
Best animated feature film of the year
Howls Moving Castle (Buena Vista)
Hayao Miyazaki
Tim Burtons Corpse Bride (Warner Bros.)
Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
Wallace & Gromit in the Curse of the Were-Rabbit (DreamWorks Animation SKG)
Nick Park and Steve Box
Will Win: Corpse Bride.
Should Win: Either of the other ones. Corpse Bride was technically magnificent, but felt soulless -- while W&G was the comedy of the year, and Howl's was more pure unadulterated magic from Miyazaki. However, Hayao already has an Oscar. Let's give it to Nick for the characters that started Aardman.
Achievement in art direction
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
Art Direction: Jim Bissell
Set Decoration: Jan Pascale
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (Warner Bros.)
Art Direction: Stuart Craig
Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
King Kong (Universal)
Art Direction: Grant Major
Set Decoration: Dan Hennah and Simon Bright
Memoirs of a Geisha (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Art Direction: John Myhre
Set Decoration: Gretchen Rau
Pride & Prejudice (Focus Features)
Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood
Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
Will Win: Geisha. It's the "respectable" one.
Should Win: KONG or Goblet.
Achievement in cinematography
Batman Begins (Warner Bros.)
Wally Pfister
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Rodrigo Prieto
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
Robert Elswit
Memoirs of a Geisha (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Dion Beebe
The New World (New Line)
Emmanuel Lubezki
Will Win: Wally Pfister. He had really pretty mountains.
Should Win: Rodrigo Prieto. So much with simple black-and-white film stock and a newsroom, yet every frame packs a visual punch.
Achievement in costume design
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (Warner Bros.)
Gabriella Pescucci
Memoirs of a Geisha (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Colleen Atwood
Mrs. Henderson Presents (The Weinstein Company)
Sandy Powell
Pride & Prejudice (Focus Features)
Jacqueline Durran
Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
Arianne Phillips
Will Win: Geisha. Once again, it's the most respectable compared to the rest of the nominees, although I can see the 50's-to-70's perfection of costuming in Walk The Line taking it.
Should Win: Well, I'd have to give it to Walk The Line or Pride & Prejudice.
Achievement in directing
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Ang Lee
Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Bennett Miller
Crash (Lions Gate)
Paul Haggis
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
George Clooney
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)
Steven Spielberg
Will Win: Ang Lee. Hey, he didn't win for Crouching Tiger/The Ice Storm/Ride With The Devil... unless the Academy decides to be dicks and give it to Haggis, in which case I will retch violently.
Should Win: Clooney.
Best documentary feature
Darwins Nightmare (International Film Circuit)
A Mille et Une Production
Hubert Sauper
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room (Magnolia Pictures)
An HDNet Films Production
Alex Gibney and Jason Kliot
March of the Penguins (Warner Independent Pictures)
A Bonne Pioche Production
Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
Murderball (THINKFilm)
An Eat Films Production
Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
Street Fight
A Marshall Curry Production
Marshall Curry
Will Win: March of the Penguins.
Should Win: Murderball.
Best documentary short subject
The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club
A Dan Krauss Production
Dan Krauss
God Sleeps in Rwanda
An Acquaro/Sherman Production
Kimberlee Acquaro and Stacy Sherman
The Mushroom Club
A Farallon Films Production
Steven Okazaki
A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin
A NomaFilms Production
Corinne Marrinan and Eric Simonson
Will Win: God Sleeps in Rwanda sounds like an Oscar winner.
Should Win: Fuck me if I know.
Achievement in film editing
Cinderella Man (Universal and Miramax)
Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
The Constant Gardener (Focus Features)
Claire Simpson
Crash (Lions Gate)
Hughes Winborne
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)
Michael Kahn
Walk the Line (20th Century Fox)
Michael McCusker
Will Win: Michael Kahn or Hughes Winborne.
Should Win: Michael Kahn or Hughes Winborne.
Best foreign language film of the year
Dont Tell
A Cattleya/Rai Cinema Production
Italy
Joyeux Nol
A Nord-Ouest Production
France
Paradise Now
An Augustus Film Production
Palestine
Sophie Scholl - The Final Days
A Goldkind Filmproduktion and Broth Film Production
Germany
Tsotsi
A Moviworld Production
South Africa
Will Win: Tsotsi.
Should Win: Paradise Now.
Achievement in makeup
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
(Buena Vista)
Howard Berger and Tami Lane
Cinderella Man
(Universal and Miramax)
David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
Star Wars: Episode III Revenge of the Sith
(20th Century Fox)
Dave Elsey and Nikki Gooley
Will Win: Narnia.
Should Win: I guess Narnia. Especially since the best makeup in Star Wars is only during the climactic burning of Anakin.
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score)
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features) Gustavo Santaolalla
The Constant Gardener (Focus Features) Alberto Iglesias
Memoirs of a Geisha (Sony Pictures Releasing) John Williams
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks) John Williams
Pride & Prejudice (Focus Features) Dario Marianelli
Will Win: Um... damn. John Williams for Munich
Should Win: John Williams for Munich. You know, if he did five scores in one year, could he possibly get all five slots himself?
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song)
In the Deep from Crash (Lions Gate)
Music by Kathleen Bird York and Michael Becker
Lyric by Kathleen Bird York
Its Hard Out Here for a Pimp fromHustle & Flow (Paramount Classics, MTV Films and New Deal Entertainment)
Music and Lyric by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul Beauregard
Travelin Thru from Transamerica (The Weinstein Company and IFC Films)
Music and Lyric by Dolly Parton
Will Win: "In The Deep".
Should Win: "It's Hard Out Here For A Pimp". C'mon, anything with a title like that DESERVES an Oscar.
Best motion picture of the year
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
A River Road Entertainment Production
Diana Ossana and James Schamus, Producers
Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
An A-Line Pictures/Coopers Town/ Infinity Media Production
Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven, Producers
Crash (Lions Gate)
A Bob Yari/DEJ/Blackfriars Bridge/ Harris Company/ApolloProscreen GmbH & Co./Bulls Eye Entertainment Production
Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, Producers
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
A Good Night Good Luck LLC Production
Grant Heslov, Producer
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)
A Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Pictures Production
Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel, Producers
Will Win: I'm gonna go out on a limb and say the Academy wets themselves, and decides Magnolia 2 is going to get them in less hot water than "That Gay Cowboy Movie" and will actually give Crash the big one.
Should Win: ANY OTHER MOVIE. But I hold high hope that Good Night, And Good Luck wins.
Adapted screenplay
Brokeback Mountain (Focus Features)
Screenplay by Larry McMurtry & Diana Ossana
Capote (UA/Sony Pictures Classics)
Screenplay by Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener (Focus Features)
Screenplay by Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (New Line)
Screenplay by Josh Olson
Munich (Universal and DreamWorks)
Screenplay by Tony Kushner and Eric Roth
Will Win: Brokeback Mountain.
Should Win: Capote.
Original screenplay
Crash (Lions Gate)
Screenplay by Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco
Story by Paul Haggis
Good Night, and Good Luck. (Warner Independent Pictures)
Screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslov
Match Point (DreamWorks)
Written by Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (Samuel Goldwyn Films and Sony Pictures Releasing)
Written by Noah Baumbach
Syriana (Warner Bros.)
Written by Stephen Gaghan
Will Win: Paul Haggis.
Should Win: Clooney and Heslov.
and shit...i need to fix my predicition for best song...i thought the song from brokeback was nominated.
anyway...good picks...and did you see that i agree with you on Corpse Bride...I think the DVD did it. Even though I still like the film...YOU WILL NEVER DEFEAT FANTASY MAN!
MWHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!