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Wednesday Jan 05, 2011

Jan 5, 2011
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I'm just curious; what do people think is going to pick up the Oscar gold this year? Personally, these are my picks. Quite a few of these are my optimistic, "in an ideal world" calls, and the rest are cynical, second-guess predictions but whatever:

Best Picture: Inception. The Academy owes Nolan for snubbing The Dark Knight and they know it. The Social Network is also a contender, but I think that Inception's smart take on the heist movie, an old, well thought-of genre, will win over the Academy. Memories of The Sting in the minds of the retirees who make up the Academy will serve this one well

Best Director: David Fincher. Yes, I know, a best picture/best director disconnect is incredibly rare, but I don't reckon the Academy will pass up the opportunity to give Fincher something he's long overdue. I'll probably be wrong, but I want this out there just in case, so that I can say I called it.

Best Actor: Colin Firth. Another nod to Leo DiCaprio would at least be courteous for Inception and Shutter Island; the dude's getting increasingly overdue for an Oscar of his own.

Best Actress: Annette Benning. I can see why people are saying Natalie Portman, but I think Annette Benning put in the better performance - plus, the civil partnership hot-button should do for her what the gay rights movement did for Milk. Topical movies win big. And I know that people are whispering Anne Hathaway as the dark horse, but I can't see the academy letting someone past the gate for a rom-com, even if it is the first genuinely good one in years.

Best Supporting Actor: I really want Christian Bale to get this. I've not seen The Fighter, but I've heard great things and more importantly, it'll make The Dark Knight Rises' ad campaign really interesting tongue

Best Supporting Actress: Helena Bonham Carter, maybe? I can see her riding in on the back of The King's Speech.

Best original Screenplay: Inception. A ten-year old labour of love, that's widely considered the movie of the year? Too good an opportunity to pass up. The only problem might be that the gap between release and Oscar season might be too large for them to remember just how tight this movie was - or that awarding it to a summer blockbuster over a more art-focused movie might be a little gauche.

Best Adapted: True Grit. I want Aaron Sorkin to win with The Social Network. The West Wing is one of my favourite shows ever, and A Few Good Men still holds good memories of a production I was in the summer before last. I ever liked Studio 60. I have tremendous affection for the man. But True Grit has such a wave of hype that I can see it winning for that alone, no matter how overrated it may show itself to be six months from now.

The rest is simple. Toy Story 3 SHOULD be a top contender for Best Picture, but as one of the finest animated films ever made it's unquestionably going to win Best Animation. Technical Awards will be swept up by Inception, though one or two sent Tron: Legacy's way would be nice. Music should certainly go to Daft Punk, but it'll probably end up elsewhere for no real reason


Right, that's my shouts. This is also going into the Film Club group, so if you want to post your predictions, go post them there.

A.

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