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in_theory

Member Since 2007

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Thursday Nov 12, 2009

Nov 12, 2009
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In a 52 card deck, we would all agree that the odds of a particular card being on top of the stack would be 1 in 52.

Are the odds of a particular card being third from the top also 1 in 52 or do they change?

Do the odds of a particular card being third from the top change if you look at the top two cards?

What if you INTEND on looking at the top two cards...do the odds change before you actually look?
tremodian:


Are the odds of a particular card being third from the top also 1 in 52 or do they change?



Nope, still one in 52.


Do the odds of a particular card being third from the top change if you look at the top two cards?



Then it'd be one in 50 (provided it wasn't one of the top two cards).


What if you INTEND on looking at the top two cards...do the odds change before you actually look?



You could say that the deck was effectively just 50 cards, since you're disregarding the top two. The odds would change when you ask what the odds are, since the size of the deck is contained in that question.

Also, I read your blog from the top down.

Also also, it's 3:45. I gotta get to sleep.

Nov 25, 2009

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